Japan Open 2024: Holger Rune vs Yoshihito Nishioka preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Holger Rune vs Yoshihito Nishioka at the China Open 2024
Holger Rune vs Yoshihito Nishioka at the China Open 2024 (Image via Getty)

Match Details

Fixture: Holger Rune vs Yoshihito Nishioka

Date: September 28, 2024

Tournament: Japan Open 2024

Round: Round of 16

Venue: Ariake Coliseum, Tokyo, Japan

Category: ATP 500

Surface: Hard-court

Prize Money: $1,818,380

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Holger Rune vs Yoshihito Nishioka preview

Holger Rune at the Cincinnati Open 2024 - Day 6 - Source: Getty
Holger Rune at the Cincinnati Open 2024 - Day 6 - Source: Getty

Holger Rune will take on Yoshihito Nishioka in the Round of 16 of the Japan Open 2024 on Saturday, September 28.

The match will take place at the Ariake Coliseum in Tokyo, Japan. Rune has been seeded sixth at the tournament and has already played against Alejandro Tabilo in the Round of 32 at the Kinoshita Group Arena, winning in three sets 6-2, 5-7, 6-4. Before this, he featured at the Hangzhou Open, where, despite being seeded first, he was beaten by Yasutaka Uchiyama in straight sets 5-7, 4-6. Rune has struggled for form lately, and also had an underwhelming US Open campaign, losing in the first round to Brandon Nakashima in straight sets 2-6, 1-6, 4-6.

On the other hand, Nishioka has been in impressive form of late, as he defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Round of 32 at the Japan Open. Nishioka was victorious in three sets, 7-6(5), 3-6, 7-6(5). Nishioka also participated in the Hangzhou Open, reaching the Round of 16. He was defeated by former US Open champion Marin Cilic in straight sets, 4-6, 1-6. Nishioka struggled immensely, suffering from muscle cramps and dehydration at the US Open. He retired after giving his best fight till the fifth set against Miomir Kecmanovic in the first round.


Holger Rune vs Yoshihito Nishioka head-to-head

Rune and Nishioka have met twice before, and their head-to-head score is 1-1.


Holger Rune vs Yoshihito Nishioka odds

PlayersMoneylineHandicapTotal Games
Holger Rune
Yoshihito Nishioka

Odds will be updated once available.


Holger Rune vs Yoshihito Nishioka prediction

Yoshihito Nishioka at The Championships - Wimbledon 2024 - Source: Getty
Yoshihito Nishioka at The Championships - Wimbledon 2024 - Source: Getty

Rune and Nishioka are two players who have had exciting encounters on both occasions they have faced each other. Rune offers an aggressive baseline game and has control over his forehand and backhand to drive his opponents out of space. However, this is precisely where the left-handed Nishioka enjoys the advantage, as he has exceptional footwork and pace on the court, often reaching unimaginable shots.

Rune goes into this match in better overall form (61% win rate) in the last twelve months than Nishioka (56% win rate) but has struggled in recent tournaments. In their most recent match-up at the Australian Open, Rune got the better of Nishioka and will look to improve his record against the Japanese. He has also played against a significantly higher level of opposition (players with an average rank of 68) in the last twelve months than Nishioka (players with an average rank of 123), which could be an advantage for the Dane.

Pick: Rune will win in three sets.