Indian Wells 2023: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul preview, head-to-head & prediction | BNP Paribas Open

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Hurkacz (left) takes on Paul at Indian Wells on Monday.
Hurkacz (left) takes on Paul at Indian Wells on Monday.

Match Details

Fixture: (9) Hubert Hurkacz vs (17) Tommy Paul

Date: Monday, March 13, 2023

Tournament: BNP Paribas Open

Round: Third round (Round of 32)

Venue: Indian Wells, California, USA

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Outdoor hardcourt

Prize money: $8,800,000

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Amazon Prime Video


Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul preview

Hurkacz won his first title of the year last month.
Hurkacz won his first title of the year last month.

Ninth seed Hubert Hurkacz will take on 17th seed Tommy Paul on Monday (March 13) for a place in the fourth round at Indian Wells.

World No. 11 Hurkacz is off to a 13-5 start to the year, opening his campaign in the Californian desert with a three-set win over Alexei Popyrin. With the win, he improved to 10-3 at Indian Wells. Earlier, the 26-year-old made the quarterfinals in Dubai (lost to Novak Djokovic), having won his first title of the year in Marseille a week earlier.

Hurkacz had opened his season with two wins and as many losses at the inaugural United Cup before making the fourth round at the Australian Open, where he lost to Sebastian Korda in a fifth-set tiebreak.

Meanwhile, World No. 19 Paul improved to 13-4 in 2023 with a three-set win over Jan-Lennard Struff. The 25-year-old is coming off a final run at Acapulco last week, losing to Alex de Minaur, having made the quarterfinals at Dallas.

Paul had opened his season with a run to his maiden Grand Slam semifinal at the Australian Open, where he lost to eventual champion Novak Djokovic in straight sets. The American has reached at least the third round in all three previous main draw appearances at Indian Wells, where he holds a 6-2 record. Paul is looking to reach the fourth round for the first time since he first did so in 2021.


Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul head-to-head

Hurkacz took the pair's lone meeting in the Round of 32 at the 2021 Paris Masters, winning the contest in straight sets.


Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal games (over/under)
Hubert Hurkacz-135-1.5 (+170)Over 22.5 (-120)
Tommy Paul+105+1.5 (-250)Under 22.5 (-115)

All odds as per BETMGM


Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul prediction

Paul is on a roll this year.
Paul is on a roll this year.

Both Hurkacz and Paul have similar game styles, as they like to dominate opponents from the back of the court.

This is a close matchup to call, as both players play their best tennis on hard courts. However, Paul could edge this one as he's coming off his first ATP 500 final last week.

Prediction: Paul in three sets