Chengdu Open 2024 Final: Lorenzo Musetti vs Shang Juncheng preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Lorenzo Musetti vs Shang Juncheng at the Chengdu Open
Lorenzo Musetti vs Shang Juncheng at the Chengdu Open (Images: Both via Getty)

Match Details

Fixture: (1) Lorenzo Musetti vs Shang Juncheng

Date: September 24, 2024

Tournament: Chengdu Open 2024

Round: Final

Venue: Sichuan International Tennis Center, Chengdu, China

Category: ATP 250

Surface: Hard-court

Prize Money: $1,171,655

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - DAZN | India - Tennis Channel


Lorenzo Musetti vs Shang Juncheng preview

Lorenzo Musetti at 2024 ATP Chengdu Open (Image via Getty)
Lorenzo Musetti at 2024 ATP Chengdu Open (Image via Getty)

Lorenzo Musetti will take on Shang Juncheng in the final of the Chengdu Open 2024 on September 24.

The match will take place at the Centre Court of the Sichuan International Tennis Center in Chengdu, China. Musetti is the top seed in the tournament, and this match is sure to be a highlight, given the high level of tennis both players have displayed so far. Juncheng upset second seed Alexander Bublik in the quarterfinals and defeated Yannick Hanfmann in the semifinals in straight sets, 6-4, 6-4. Musetti also won his semifinal encounter in straight sets, defeating Alibek Kachmazov 6-4, 6-2.

Shang has lost just one set on his road to the final, while Musetti has lost two.


Lorenzo Musetti vs Shang Juncheng head-to-head

Musetti and Juncheng have yet to face each other in professional competition. Hence, their head-to-head account stands at 0-0.


Lorenzo Musetti vs Shang Juncheng odds

PlayersMoneylineHandicapTotal Games
Lorenzo Musetti
Shang Juncheng

Odds will be updated once available.


Lorenzo Musetti vs Shang Juncheng prediction

Musetti has a 60% win rate in the past year, compared to Juncheng's 63%. Both players have competed at a similar level on the Main Tour, but there's a notable difference in the quality of their opponents. Musetti will have an advantage going into this match, having faced players with an average ranking of 62, while Juncheng's opponents have been ranked around 122.

Juncheng has a career-best win percentage on hard courts, winning 66% of his matches. Musetti, on the other hand, has his career-worst win percentage on hard courts, winning just 48% of his matches. Given their similar defensive and attacking statistics, their match could potentially go to a deciding set.

Musetti has saved 60% of his breakpoints, and Juncheng has saved 66%. Musetti is more clinical in deciding sets, converting 68% of his breakpoints, while Juncheng's conversion rate is 60%. Both players are evenly matched in terms of breakpoint conversion, with a 41% success rate. Both players will be motivated to compete their best after their third-round exits at the US Open and aim for the trophy.

Pick: Musetti to win in three sets.