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Millwall take on Derby County on Saturday on matchday 10 of the EFL Championship. The two teams are in opposite halves of the points table.
Neil Harris' Millwall are coming off a goalless draw at West Bromwich Albion in their previous outing. The hosts dominated possession (80%) but couldn't find their way past a resolute Millwall defense, with only three of their 13 shots being on target.
The stalemate leaves the Lions in 18th place in the standings, with nine points from as many games, having won just twice, extending their winless streak to two games.
Meanwhile, Paul Warne's Derby are coming off a heartening 2-0 home win over QPR just before the recently concluded international break. Curtin Nelson and Marcus Harness scored within a minute of each other after the break as the Rams moved up to 12th in the points table with 12 points from nine outings, snapping a three-game losing streak.
On that note, here's a look at the head-to-head and key numbers, match prediction, and betting tips of the Millwall-Derby Championship contest at The Den.
Millwall vs Derby County head-to-head and key numbers
- In 62 head-to-head meetings, Millwall have a narrow 24-23 lead over Derby, including a 2-1 away win in their last clash, in the Championship in February 2022.
- Each team have won twice in their last five clashes - all in the Championship - with Millwall unbeaten in three, winning two.
- The Lions have won twice in their last five home games across competitions, losing thrice.
- Derby have lost all four road outings this season, including thrice in the Championship.
- Form guide (last five games across competitions, most recent result first): Millwall: D-L-W-D-L; Derby: W-L-L-L-W
Millwall vs Derby County prediction
Both sides have struggled to get going in the Championship this season, especially Millwall, who are just two points off the relegation zone. There's very little to choose between the two sides in terms of their recent head-to-head, but, as mentioned above, Derby haven't lost in three games in the fixture.
Interestingly, the away team have won six of the last seven league meetings in this fixture, so it's advantage Derby. However, the Rams are in terrible away form, as they're yet to pick up a point on the road.
Millwall (1,881) and Derby (2,202) average the two fewest passes in the Championship, but both average the two highest ratios of long passes, so a stalemate could ensue.
Prediction: Millwall 1-1 Derby County
Millwall vs Derby County betting tips
Tip-1: Draw
Tip-2: Millwall to keep a clean sheet: No (They haven't kept one in five games across competitions.)
Tip-3: Over 1.5 goals: Yes (Three of their last five meetings have had at least two goals.)
