Flamengo vs Fluminense Prediction and Betting Tips | October 17th 2024

Flamengo v Fluminense - Campeonato Carioca 2024 - Source: Getty
Flamengo lock horns with Fluminense in the Brazilian Serie A

Flamengo will square off against local rivals Fluminense at the Maracanã in the Brazilian Serie A on Thursday. The hosts are in fourth place in the league standings with 51 points. The visitors have eight wins in the league thus far and are in 16th place with 30 points.

Rubro-Negro met Bahia earlier this month, recording a 2-0 away win. Ayrton scored in the first half and Carlos Alcaraz doubled their lead from the penalty spot. It was their first away win in the Brazilian Serie A since July.

Fluzão hosted Cruzeiro in their previous outing and recorded a 1-0 win, thanks to Jhon Arias' second-half strike. They returned to winning ways after three consecutive defeats and will look to continue that form here.


Flamengo vs Fluminense Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

  • The two Rio de Janeiro-based teams have a long-standing rivalry and have met 451 times in all competitions. Rubro-Negro have the upper hand in these meetings with 165 wins. The visitors are not far behind with 141 wins and 145 games have ended in draws.
  • The hosts are on an eight-game unbeaten streak in this fixture and registered a 1-0 away win in the reverse fixture in June.
  • The visitors have lost six of their last seven away games in all competitions, failing to score in three games in that period.
  • Flamengo have kept seven clean sheets in their last eight meetings against the visitors.
  • Fluminense have the joint-worst goalscoring record in the Brazilian Serie A, scoring 22 goals in 28 league outings. The hosts, meanwhile, have the third-best attacking record, scoring 45 goals.
  • Rubro-Negro are unbeaten in their last six home games in the Brazilian Serie A, recording four wins.

Flamengo vs Fluminense Prediction

Rubro-Negro head into the match on a four-game unbeaten streak across all competitions, recording three wins while keeping four clean sheets and will look to continue their form here. They are unbeaten in their last eight meetings against the visitors, scoring eight times while conceding just once, and are strong favorites.

Pedro, Everton Cebolinha, Matias Vina, and Luiz Arauja are sidelined with injuries and will play no part in this derby. Alex Sandro is back from a thigh injury and should return to the starting XI. Filipe Luís has won his two games as the head coach and will look to continue that form.

Fluzão returned to winning and goalscoring ways after three games in their previous outing and will look to continue that momentum here. They have recently endured a poor run of form in their travels, suffering six losses in seven away games. They have conceded at least twice in five games in that period, which is a cause for concern.

Thiago Silva has resumed training after suffering a foot injury but faces a late fitness test. Kevin Serna picked up an injury earlier this month and is sidelined for the remainder of the league campaign. Marcelo and Keno are suspended while Jhon Arias might be back late from international duty and is a doubt.

Both teams have a few absentees for the game, which is likely to impact their performance here. Nonetheless, considering Rubro-Negro's dominance in this fixture and current form, the hosts are expected to eke out a narrow win.

Prediction: Flamengo 2-1 Fluminense


Flamengo vs Fluminense Betting Tips

Tip 1: Result - Flamengo to win

Tip 2: Goals - Over/Under 2.5 Goals - Over 2.5 goals

Tip 3: At least one goal to be scored in the second half - Yes

Tip 4: Ganso to score or assist any time - Yes

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Edited by Peter P